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← All boardsIs pootytherewardfarmer really profitable on Polymarket?
0xa3e22cd32aa9238ef7dbcfb4761e33b9eaa1fdf8
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. pootytherewardfarmer made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 93 days (2026-04-26 to 2026-10-08), adding up to $5K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$321K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$3K, last month -$20K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Mentions traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 5% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 5%Verified PnL#592 of 624
Beats 9%30-day PnL#535 of 594
Beats 1%Win rate#582 of 592
Beats 7%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#575 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board93
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$321K
Verified lifetime PnL
$23.67MVolume
21%Win rate (sample) · n=396
-1.32%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3K7-day PnL
-$20K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$320.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $172only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$11.8Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$425.1Kpartial
-1.35% ROI19.9% Win rate · n=418
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$1,170 · loses the most in Politics -$3,416
Top 5 winning markets
- +$357PartyDAO airdrop by September 30?Crypto · Yes
- +$244Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics · Yes
- +$239New Pope in 2025?Culture · No
- +$192Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?Crypto · Yes
- +$191Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$286Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Politics · No
- -$256Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?Politics · No
- -$242Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?Culture · Yes
- -$224Will Biden say "Jill" during farewell address? Politics · Yes
- -$220Will Tesla deliver 375000-400000 vehicles in Q2?Tech & science · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$321KVerified lifetime PnL
$325KBelow board-day sum
93Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
-$3K7-day PnL
-$20K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $204 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $417 |
| 2026-06 | 18 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 22 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 24 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $547 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $144 |
Which boards
Mentions 48Weather 27Sports 23Tech 18Finance 11Culture 8Politics 8Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $12K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$12K
Maker rebate$12K
Taker rebate$15
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-01 → 2026-10-15
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$83K
Rebate$1K
Net total$84K
Window2026-09-15 → 2026-10-15
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL-$321K
Verification gap-$325K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)