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← All boardsIs gopfan2 really profitable on Polymarket?
0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817
Short answer
Mostly yes. gopfan2 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 122 days (2026-03-21 to 2026-10-11), adding up to $201K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$1.67M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$37K, last month +$55K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Weather traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 93% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 93%Verified PnL#39 of 624
Beats 77%30-day PnL#134 of 594
Beats 79%Win rate#120 of 592
Beats 77%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#143 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board122
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.67M
Verified lifetime PnL
$70.43MVolume
82.2%Win rate (sample) · n=394
2.26%PnL ÷ Volume
-$37K7-day PnL
$55K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.67M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,877only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,691partial
Liquidity rewards$11.2Kpartial
2.37% ROI37.6% Win rate · n=862
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1.30M · loses the most in Finance -$6,536
Top 5 winning markets
- +$203.1KWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Politics · Yes
- +$141.2KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$128.4KWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Politics · Yes
- +$111.1KWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Politics · Yes
- +$88.6KWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$168.3KWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$38.4KIsrael military action against Iran before July?Politics · No
- -$32.8KWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Politics · Yes
- -$27.9KUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · No
- -$24.9KWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?Crypto · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.67MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.47MEarned off the board
122Days on board
$201KBoard-day sum
-$37K7-day PnL
$55K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 7 | $38K |
| 2026-04 | 8 | $25K |
| 2026-05 | 25 | $32K |
| 2026-06 | 25 | $40K |
| 2026-07 | 20 | $17K |
| 2026-08 | 18 | $26K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $15K |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $9K |
Which boards
Weather 72Politics 56Crypto 21Sports 18
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$104
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-03-21 → 2026-10-07
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$201K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.67M
Verification gap$1.47M
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)