ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs donthackme really profitable on Polymarket?
0x03805a13a0b3e058f55f6c6af95389d4f431073d
Short answer
Mostly yes. donthackme made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 116 days (2026-05-29 to 2026-10-11), adding up to $394K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$834K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$105K, last month +$1.15M.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 87% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$834K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$1.36M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$295.4KWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$204.0KWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?Sports · No
- +$146.5KWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$133.6KWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · No
- +$120.4KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$104.9KWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Sports · No
- -$104.4KWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$35.3KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$35.3KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$33.9KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $6K |
| 2026-06 | 30 | $132K |
| 2026-07 | 31 | $111K |
| 2026-08 | 31 | $121K |
| 2026-09 | 20 | $22K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
visible rebate $19K (58% maker / 42% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)