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Is donthackme really profitable on Polymarket?

0x03805a13a0b3e058f55f6c6af95389d4f431073d

Short answer

Mostly yes. donthackme made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 116 days (2026-05-29 to 2026-10-11), adding up to $394K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$834K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$105K, last month +$1.15M.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 87% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 87%Verified PnL#78 of 622
Beats 97%30-day PnL#9 of 308
Beats 5%Win rate#536 of 568
Beats 68%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#184 of 591

Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board116
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-05-29
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$834K

Verified lifetime PnL

$37.35MVolume
32.7%Win rate (sample) · n=394
1.92%PnL ÷ Volume
$105K7-day PnL
$1.15M30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$833.5K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $34only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$40.3K
2.23% ROI31.2% Win rate · n=413

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes63% of 500 buys at ≥ 90¢Holds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 3.3 h)Mainly weather66% of last 500 fills (over 3.3 h) are weather marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Politics +$1.36M

Politics151 pos.+$1.36M
Tech & science39 pos.+$296.4K
Sports159 pos.+$253.6K
Culture9 pos.+$57.5K
Finance42 pos.+$37.7K

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31

$834KVerified lifetime PnL
$440KEarned off the board
116Days on board
$394KBoard-day sum
$105K7-day PnL
$1.15M30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 3 $6K
2026-06 30 $132K
2026-07 31 $111K
2026-08 31 $121K
2026-09 20 $22K
2026-10 1 $2K

Which boards

Politics 96Tech 61Finance 56Sports 53Culture 39Weather 25All markets 15

Method breakdown

Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

visible rebate $19K (58% maker / 42% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Mixed rebate

Visible rebate total$19K
Maker rebate$11K
Taker rebate$8K
Maker share58%
Taker share42%
Window2026-05-29 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$165K
Rebate$4K
Net total$169K
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$394K
Verified lifetime PnL$834K
Verification gap$440K

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)