ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

← All boards

Is 0x06dc5182… really profitable on Polymarket?

0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524

Short answer

Less than the leaderboard suggests. 0x06dc5182… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 111 days (2026-04-15 to 2026-10-29), adding up to $731K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$39K: a gap of $692K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$81K, last month +$76K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 46% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 46%Verified PnL#337 of 624
Beats 81%30-day PnL#113 of 594
Beats 55%Win rate#264 of 592
Beats 25%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#465 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board111
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-15
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$39K

Verified lifetime PnL

$150.86MVolume
67.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.11%PnL ÷ Volume
-$81K7-day PnL
$76K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$39.1K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $12.7Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$331.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$2,301
0.03% ROI34.4% Win rate · n=789

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 8.7 h)Mainly crypto100% of last 500 fills (over 8.7 h) are crypto marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$447.2K

Crypto400 pos.-$447.2K

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$39KVerified lifetime PnL
$692KBelow board-day sum
111Days on board
$731KBoard-day sum
-$81K7-day PnL
$76K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 8 $79K
2026-05 17 $48K
2026-06 23 $172K
2026-07 19 $66K
2026-08 16 $62K
2026-09 19 $137K
2026-10 9 $167K

Which boards

Crypto 111All markets 15

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

41% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $332K (36% maker / 64% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mixed

Passive ratio41%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Mixed rebate

Visible rebate total$332K
Maker rebate$120K
Taker rebate$212K
Maker share36%
Taker share64%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-10-31

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$18.19M
Rebate$70K
Net total$18.26M
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-31

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$731K
Verified lifetime PnL$39K
Verification gap-$692K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)