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Is deltasniper really profitable on Polymarket?
0x0826042fb1f3f5ff4325ed7237ebc87468070b32
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. deltasniper made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 72 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $24K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$46K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$11K, last month +$24K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 9% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 9%Verified PnL#1024 of 1130
Beats 67%30-day PnL#267 of 810
Beats 33%Win rate#622 of 928
Beats 13%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#829 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board72
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$46K
Verified lifetime PnL
$11.06MVolume
55.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.42%PnL ÷ Volume
$11K7-day PnL
$24K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$45.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$6,946partial
Liquidity rewards$4,915
-0.41% ROI55.8% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$18.0K · loses the most in Crypto -$30.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$16.9KFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$6,557Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Sports · Yes
- +$6,026US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$5,810Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super KingsSports · Chennai Super Kings
- +$4,892MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$18.8KWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · No
- -$14.2KOver $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Crypto · No
- -$11.9KFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Finance · No
- -$9,748Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Crypto · No
- -$8,460US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$510). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$46KVerified lifetime PnL
$70KBelow board-day sum
72Days on board
$24KBoard-day sum
$11K7-day PnL
$24K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $845 |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 16 | $6K |
Which boards
Crypto 33Politics 26Finance 24Sports 11Tech 5Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $7K (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured496
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$7K
Maker rebate$7K
Taker rebate$210
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$24K
Verified lifetime PnL-$46K
Verification gap-$70K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)