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← All boardsIs The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA really profitable on Polymarket?
0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e
Short answer
Mostly yes. The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 97 days (2026-03-21 to 2026-10-01), adding up to $343K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$1.85M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$3K, last month +$49K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 94% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 94%Verified PnL#36 of 624
Beats 76%30-day PnL#138 of 594
Beats 60%Win rate#235 of 592
Beats 59%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#250 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board97
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-10-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.85M
Verified lifetime PnL
$136.11MVolume
69.5%Win rate (sample) · n=354
1.34%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$49K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.85M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $517only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,077partial
Liquidity rewards$7,325partial
1.36% ROI69.5% Win rate · n=354
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$974.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$262.4KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$157.9KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
- +$137.1K2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HousePolitics · Yes
- +$133.1KWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · Yes
- +$130.8KNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$171.3KTrump and Biden both win nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$149.4KWill ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Politics · No
- -$110.0K[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · No
- -$86.3KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$83.2K[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.85MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.51MEarned off the board
97Days on board
$343KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$49K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $85K |
| 2026-04 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 22 | $53K |
| 2026-06 | 20 | $109K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $35K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $21K |
| 2026-09 | 17 | $24K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $13K |
Which boards
Politics 77Crypto 17Culture 11Sports 8All markets 6Weather 2Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
89% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (95% maker / 5% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio89%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$100
Maker share95%
Taker share5%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$343K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.85M
Verification gap$1.51M
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)