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Is e88888 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x0d15e2724df455f9e65b15104d21d76412a2c454
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. e88888 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 68 days (2026-03-19 to 2026-09-12), adding up to $59K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$33K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 10% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 10%Verified PnL#1010 of 1130
Beats 62%Win rate#352 of 928
Beats 11%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#841 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board68
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-19
Last seen2026-09-12
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$33K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.58MVolume
71.6%Win rate · n=162
-0.58%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$32.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $317only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$1,772
-0.59% ROI69% Win rate · n=168
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$176.3K · loses the most in Finance -$181.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$22.4KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$18.4KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics · No
- +$17.4KWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Politics · No
- +$16.9KWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics · No
- +$16.2KWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$79.2KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Finance · No
- -$44.2KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Finance · No
- -$39.7KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
- -$38.0KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Finance · No
- -$24.3KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Finance · No
Covers all 172 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 6 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$4,436). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$33KVerified lifetime PnL
$92KBelow board-day sum
68Days on board
$59KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $5K |
| 2026-04 | 4 | $5K |
| 2026-05 | 22 | $25K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $9K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $191 |
Which boards
Politics 55Finance 6Crypto 6Tech 5Sports 3Culture 1Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-15
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$59K
Verified lifetime PnL-$33K
Verification gap-$92K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)