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← All boardsIs Valen9 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. Valen9 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 75 days (2026-04-14 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $258K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$235K: a gap of $23K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$6K, last month -$24K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 71% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 71%Verified PnL#176 of 624
Beats 9%30-day PnL#540 of 594
Beats 37%Win rate#371 of 592
Beats 45%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#341 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board75
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-14
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$235K
Verified lifetime PnL
$32.87MVolume
55.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.76%PnL ÷ Volume
-$6K7-day PnL
-$24K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$234.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $702only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,905partial
Liquidity rewards$13.6K
0.71% ROI54.3% Win rate · n=411
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$312.6K · loses the most in Finance -$121.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$240.6KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$145.8KUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · Yes
- +$85.9KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$70.8KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$26.6KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$84.5KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Finance · Yes
- -$56.5KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$52.9KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Finance · Yes
- -$32.0KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$27.3KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$235KVerified lifetime PnL
$23KBelow board-day sum
75Days on board
$258KBoard-day sum
-$6K7-day PnL
-$24K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $44K |
| 2026-05 | 7 | $35K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $87K |
| 2026-07 | 24 | $31K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $57K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $4K |
Which boards
Politics 59Tech 8Sports 7Culture 6Finance 5Crypto 5All markets 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$103
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-04-27 → 2026-10-25
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$258K
Verified lifetime PnL$235K
Verification gap-$23K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)