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Is CamelUp really profitable on Polymarket?

0x17559efac103ac7f361be37ec0b93888d4c55aac

Short answer

Mostly yes. CamelUp made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 70 days (2026-03-21 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $111K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$295K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$1K, last month -$59K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 75% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 75%Verified PnL#155 of 624
Beats 7%30-day PnL#552 of 594
Beats 64%Win rate#210 of 592
Beats 68%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#195 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board70
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$295K

Verified lifetime PnL

$18.20MVolume
71.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
1.80%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
-$59K30-day PnL
2026-03 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$295.2K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $1,317only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$9,144partial
Liquidity rewards$24.4K
1.62% ROI31.7% Win rate · n=899

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 8 days)Active this weekLast trade 1 days agoRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Finance +$220.0K

Finance390 pos.+$220.0K
Sports10 pos.+$6,645

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$62.7KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?Finance · Down
  2. +$44.9KSuns vs. TimberwolvesSports · Timberwolves
  3. +$44.0KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?Finance · Up / Down
  4. +$33.2KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?Finance · Up / Down
  5. +$32.4KWarriors vs. KnicksSports · Knicks

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$101.1KSpread: Rams (-3.5)Sports · Rams
  2. -$50.7KWill Opendoor reach $6 in April?Finance · No
  3. -$49.5KPacers vs. 76ersSports · Pacers
  4. -$41.2KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?Finance · Down / Up
  5. -$28.3KWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 9?Finance · No

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$295KVerified lifetime PnL
$184KEarned off the board
70Days on board
$111KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
-$59K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-03 5 $51K
2026-04 5 $32K
2026-05 9 $7K
2026-06 16 $6K
2026-07 9 $2K
2026-08 10 $952
2026-09 12 $3K
2026-10 4 $9K

Which boards

Finance 70Sports 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

50% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $9K (53% maker / 47% taker); rebate covers 5% of recent trading losses

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mixed

Passive ratio50%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Mixed rebate

Visible rebate total$9K
Maker rebate$5K
Taker rebate$4K
Maker share53%
Taker share47%
Window2026-04-10 → 2026-10-10

Profit composition

Rebate covering trading losses

Trade cash-$29K
Rebate$1K
Net total-$28K
Rebate covers loss5%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$111K
Verified lifetime PnL$295K
Verification gap$184K

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)