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← All boardsIs Wickier really profitable on Polymarket?
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df
Short answer
Mostly yes. Wickier made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 57 days (2026-03-21 to 2026-09-18), adding up to $324K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$1.14M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$25K, last month -$17K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 91% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 91%Verified PnL#55 of 624
Beats 10%30-day PnL#531 of 594
Beats 51%Win rate#289 of 592
Beats 93%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#43 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board57
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.14M
Verified lifetime PnL
$23.93MVolume
64.6%Win rate (sample) · n=390
4.79%PnL ÷ Volume
-$25K7-day PnL
-$17K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.14M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,841only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$873partial
Liquidity rewards$5,446
4.77% ROI57.4% Win rate · n=439
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$1.37M · loses the most in Tech & science -$6,654
Top 5 winning markets
- +$536.6KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$264.6KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics · Yes
- +$207.4KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$88.9KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$88.5KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$57.1KUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$56.9KUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Politics · Yes
- -$45.7KYoon out as president of South Korea before April?Politics · Yes / No
- -$25.8KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$23.7KWill TikTok be banned again before May?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.14MVerified lifetime PnL
$818KEarned off the board
57Days on board
$324KBoard-day sum
-$25K7-day PnL
-$17K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 6 | $94K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $147K |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $13K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $9K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $46K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $14K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $712 |
Which boards
Politics 41Sports 10Mentions 6Culture 3Finance 2Tech 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $873 (67% maker / 33% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-23
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$873
Maker rebate$583
Taker rebate$290
Maker share67%
Taker share33%
Window2026-05-16 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$324K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.14M
Verification gap$818K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)