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← All boardsIs bitterfish really profitable on Polymarket?
0x1cd24cc49782240413903b4b7e7694779f917f85
Short answer
Mostly yes. bitterfish made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 92 days (2026-04-26 to 2026-10-29), adding up to $51K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$106K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$7K, last month +$25K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 61% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 61%Verified PnL#239 of 624
Beats 69%30-day PnL#179 of 594
Beats 75%Win rate#146 of 592
Beats 93%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#44 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board92
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$106K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.25MVolume
79.3%Win rate (sample) · n=392
4.70%PnL ÷ Volume
$7K7-day PnL
$25K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$105.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $18.1Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,311partial
Liquidity rewards$0
4.71% ROI60.6% Win rate · n=513
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$135.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$33.8KWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Crypto · No
- +$23.6KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Finance · No
- +$20.2KWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?Crypto · No
- +$15.3KWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Crypto · No
- +$10.4KWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,153Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- -$3,978Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja KrausSports · Sinja Kraus / Alina Charaeva
- -$3,941Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Finance · No
- -$1,791Segovia: Yanki Erel vs Dominik PalanSports · Dominik Palan
- -$1,719Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Sports · Under
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$106KVerified lifetime PnL
$54KEarned off the board
92Days on board
$51KBoard-day sum
$7K7-day PnL
$25K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $359 |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $9K |
| 2026-07 | 20 | $11K |
| 2026-08 | 20 | $7K |
| 2026-09 | 17 | $15K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Finance 58Crypto 44Sports 20
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-06-21 → 2026-10-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$51K
Verified lifetime PnL$106K
Verification gap$54K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)