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Is VibeyQuant really profitable on Polymarket?
0x1f85e6e3e41e5f1fe03f6cf22a52ae4e352ea51b
Short answer
Mostly yes. VibeyQuant made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 81 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $21K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$36K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#557 of 1156
Beats 91%Win rate#78 of 963
Beats 62%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#373 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board81
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$36K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.63MVolume
93.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.36%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$36.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,062only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$51
1.39% ROI62.9% Win rate · n=596
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$83.3K · loses the most in Other -$10.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$24.7KWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Crypto · No
- +$20.0KWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?Crypto · No
- +$15.7KWill Ethereum reach $5200 in October?Crypto · No
- +$12.7KWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Sports · Yes
- +$9,521Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$14.6KBills vs. DolphinsSports · Bills
- -$10.3KWill the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?Other · No
- -$10.1KWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Crypto · No
- -$7,324Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
- -$6,890Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 196 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$98.3K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$36KVerified lifetime PnL
$16KEarned off the board
81Days on board
$21KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 20 | $6K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $394 |
Which boards
Finance 46Crypto 43Sports 15Tech 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
21% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio21%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$21K
Verified lifetime PnL$36K
Verification gap$16K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)