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← All boardsIs RN1 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875ea
Short answer
Mostly yes. RN1 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 92 days (2026-03-25 to 2026-10-08), adding up to $2.74M on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$13.38M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$369K, last month +$836K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 99% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 99%Verified PnL#2 of 622
Beats 95%30-day PnL#14 of 308
Beats 48%Win rate#293 of 568
Beats 49%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#299 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board92
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-03-25
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$13.38M
Verified lifetime PnL
$1359.95MVolume
63.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.95%PnL ÷ Volume
$369K7-day PnL
$836K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$13.38M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5,835only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1.61Mpartial
Liquidity rewards$335.1K
0.98% ROI28.5% Win rate · n=891
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$704.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$157.3KBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- +$116.8KNew Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Sports · Over
- +$113.5KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Sports · Yes / No
- +$105.3KCanada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- +$102.1KFrance vs. England: O/U 8.5Sports · Over
Top 5 losing markets
- -$130.4KWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-07-23?Sports · No
- -$112.0KWuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani BouzigeSports · Moerani Bouzige
- -$109.5KFC Bayern München leading at halftime?Sports · Yes
- -$94.7KPalermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina IbragimovaSports · Tamara Zidansek
- -$93.3KWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$13.38MVerified lifetime PnL
$10.63MEarned off the board
92Days on board
$3.08MBoard-day sum
$369K7-day PnL
$836K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $122K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $73K |
| 2026-05 | 19 | $284K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $571K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $282K |
| 2026-08 | 16 | $330K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $1.17M |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $250K |
Which boards
Sports 92All markets 61
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
94% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1.61M (68% maker / 32% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Head-to-heads with other top wallets:
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio94%
Fills measured493
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1.61M
Maker rebate$1.09M
Taker rebate$520K
Maker share68%
Taker share32%
Window2026-03-11 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$35.13M
Rebate$251K
Net total$35.39M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2.74M
Verified lifetime PnL$13.38M
Verification gap$10.63M
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)