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Is 0x228b8d11… really profitable on Polymarket?
0x228b8d11eba89bf1c554f8879a9293b7106daf4c
Short answer
Mostly yes. 0x228b8d11… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 86 days (2026-04-29 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $385K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$923K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$32K, last month -$11K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 91% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 91%Verified PnL#98 of 1130
Beats 11%30-day PnL#715 of 810
Beats 43%Win rate#523 of 928
Beats 40%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#568 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board86
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$923K
Verified lifetime PnL
$169.96MVolume
62%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.55%PnL ÷ Volume
$32K7-day PnL
-$11K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$923.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$183.6Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$16.4K
0.54% ROI52.4% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$94.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$13.9KBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
- +$12.5KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Sports · Yes
- +$11.8KPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Sports · Over
- +$11.5KAustria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
- +$11.5KSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$13.3KExact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?Sports · No
- -$11.6KSpread: Spurs (-6.5)Sports · Thunder
- -$10.6KBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Sports · Under
- -$10.3KWill United States win on 2026-07-01?Sports · Yes
- -$10.2KSpread: Spurs (-4.5)Sports · Spurs
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2989+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$286.1K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$923KVerified lifetime PnL
$538KEarned off the board
86Days on board
$385KBoard-day sum
$32K7-day PnL
-$11K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $7K |
| 2026-05 | 19 | $101K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $150K |
| 2026-07 | 21 | $91K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $27K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $9K |
Which boards
Sports 86All markets 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $184K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-10
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$184K
Maker rebate$184K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$5.28M
Rebate$22K
Net total$5.30M
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$385K
Verified lifetime PnL$923K
Verification gap$538K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)