ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs ProfessionalPunter really profitable on Polymarket?
0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
Short answer
Mostly yes. ProfessionalPunter made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 76 days (2026-03-24 to 2026-09-19), adding up to $115K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$270K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$166K, last month -$172K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 73% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 73%Verified PnL#164 of 624
Beats 3%30-day PnL#571 of 594
Beats 58%Win rate#248 of 592
Beats 71%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#175 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board76
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-24
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$270K
Verified lifetime PnL
$19.08MVolume
68.7%Win rate (sample) · n=399
2.02%PnL ÷ Volume
-$166K7-day PnL
-$172K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$269.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,944only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,747partial
Liquidity rewards$6,931
1.41% ROI58.6% Win rate · n=468
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$311.5K · loses the most in Culture -$36.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$61.3KWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics · Yes
- +$48.4KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Finance · No
- +$45.5KWill Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Crypto · No / Yes
- +$39.7KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$24.2KOpenAI browser by October 31?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$54.0KUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics · No
- -$32.7KClavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture · No
- -$29.5KWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · No
- -$25.8K Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics · Yes / No
- -$23.6KWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$270KVerified lifetime PnL
$155KEarned off the board
76Days on board
$115KBoard-day sum
-$166K7-day PnL
-$172K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-04 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $44K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $37K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $26K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $421 |
Which boards
Politics 53Finance 20Culture 9Weather 7Tech 5Sports 3Crypto 2All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
87% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $4K (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio87%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$4K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$422
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-03-20 → 2026-10-07
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$115K
Verified lifetime PnL$270K
Verification gap$155K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)