ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs Copyright-1 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x235e75bafc6c7cc39a1fcc454e7034c1b5845673
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. Copyright-1 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 61 days (2026-04-27 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $40K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$32K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$4K, last month +$3K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 10% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 10%Verified PnL#562 of 625
Beats 39%30-day PnL#316 of 519
Beats 22%Win rate#437 of 566
Beats 7%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#550 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board61
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$32K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.53MVolume
50.2%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.27%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$37.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,635only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$597partial
Liquidity rewards$427
-1.46% ROI37.9% Win rate · n=530
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$37.7K · loses the most in Crypto -$17.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$20.0KWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
- +$5,858LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerSports · Team WE
- +$5,600Grizzlies vs. SunsSports · Grizzlies
- +$3,869Sweden leading at halftime?Sports · Yes
- +$2,680NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics Sports · 76ers
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,056Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto · Down / Up
- -$5,900Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersSports · Nuggets
- -$4,750Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$4,313Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports · Yes
- -$4,255Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$32KVerified lifetime PnL
$73KBelow board-day sum
61Days on board
$40KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $29K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $6K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $418 |
Which boards
Sports 45Finance 7Politics 6Culture 3Weather 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
71% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $597 (87% maker / 13% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio71%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-10-09
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$597
Maker rebate$521
Taker rebate$75
Maker share87%
Taker share13%
Window2026-02-03 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$40K
Verified lifetime PnL-$32K
Verification gap-$73K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)