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← All boardsIs debased really profitable on Polymarket?
0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
Short answer
Mostly yes. debased made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 74 days (2026-04-29 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $165K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$1.38M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$3K, last month +$15K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 92% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 92%Verified PnL#48 of 624
Beats 63%30-day PnL#218 of 594
Beats 18%Win rate#484 of 592
Beats 30%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#429 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board74
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.38M
Verified lifetime PnL
$509.22MVolume
45.8%Win rate (sample) · n=397
0.26%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$15K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.38M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $493only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$15.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$23.8Kpartial
0.27% ROI28.9% Win rate · n=629
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$1.11M · loses the most in Sports -$396.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$897.0KWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Finance · Yes / No
- +$631.6KNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$393.8KWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$363.6KWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Politics · Yes / No
- +$243.1KWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$391.3KWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$316.1KWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Politics · Yes / No
- -$272.2KFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$241.0KFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$165.9KWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.38MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.22MEarned off the board
74Days on board
$165KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$15K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $13K |
| 2026-05 | 18 | $56K |
| 2026-06 | 20 | $86K |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 46Sports 25Culture 8Mentions 5All markets 3Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $15K (97% maker / 3% taker); rebate covers 1% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$15K
Maker rebate$15K
Taker rebate$428
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-04-10 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$95K
Rebate$1K
Net total-$94K
Rebate covers loss1%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$165K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.38M
Verification gap$1.22M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)