ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
Is sdhyky really profitable on Polymarket?
0x264cbb7263b0c336c58fb5a5de1773896e6bbaca
Short answer
Mostly yes. sdhyky made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 75 days (2026-03-30 to 2026-10-02), adding up to $23K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$30K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$9K, last month -$8K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 47% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 47%Verified PnL#596 of 1130
Beats 13%30-day PnL#700 of 810
Beats 32%Win rate#629 of 928
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#640 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board75
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-30
Last seen2026-10-02
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$30K
Verified lifetime PnL
$15.27MVolume
55.5%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.29%PnL ÷ Volume
$9K7-day PnL
-$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$29.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $207only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4,135partial
Liquidity rewards$71.1K
0.19% ROI41.7% Win rate · n=530
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$53.8K · loses the most in Politics -$21.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$20.8KS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?Finance · Up / Down
- +$10.4KS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?Finance · Up / Down
- +$3,859Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026?Sports · Yes
- +$3,692Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?Finance · No
- +$3,617SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?Finance · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$13.4KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$5,991Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics · Yes
- -$5,757Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Finance · No
- -$5,712WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?Finance · Down
- -$5,275US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 132 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$44.5K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$30KVerified lifetime PnL
$7KEarned off the board
75Days on board
$23KBoard-day sum
$9K7-day PnL
-$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $1K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Finance 37Politics 37Sports 5Crypto 2Tech 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
66% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $4K (81% maker / 19% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio66%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-14
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$4K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$792
Maker share81%
Taker share19%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$23K
Verified lifetime PnL$30K
Verification gap$7K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)