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Is wowfarm really profitable on Polymarket?

0x2ada299aaaf27c806424ec6dcb0c169d1a9c2f28

Short answer

Mostly yes. wowfarm made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 80 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $67K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$95K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 66% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 66%Verified PnL#388 of 1156

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board80
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$95K

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$94.7K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $29only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$87
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes68% of 496 buys at ≥ 90¢Mostly maker81% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 16.8 days)Mainly sports91% of last 500 fills (over 16.8 days) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$76.9K

Sports393 pos.+$76.9K
Politics7 pos.+$31.7K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$47.1KJets vs. CanadiensSports · Jets / Canadiens
  2. +$18.6KTwins vs. OriolesSports · Twins / Orioles
  3. +$15.1KTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Politics · No
  4. +$14.9KNets vs. PistonsSports · Nets
  5. +$13.1KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics · No

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$32.9KWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Sports · No
  2. -$17.2KPackers vs. BearsSports · Packers
  3. -$12.4KWashington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsSports · Washington Nationals
  4. -$12.2KAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevSports · Zverev
  5. -$10.3KPittsburgh vs. East CarolinaSports · East Carolina / Pittsburgh

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 20 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$155.4K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$95KVerified lifetime PnL
$27KEarned off the board
80Days on board
$67KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 4 $6K
2026-05 17 $12K
2026-06 16 $34K
2026-07 25 $12K
2026-08 13 $3K
2026-09 5 $362

Which boards

Sports 80All markets 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

81% passive fills in the recent window

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio81%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-11
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$67K
Verified lifetime PnL$95K
Verification gap$27K

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)