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← All boardsIs crckr really profitable on Polymarket?
0x2b3d1e9bdf941d435dc91a8b974b86f7064c8db7
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. crckr made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 61 days (2026-04-29 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $55K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$52K: a gap of $3K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$15K, last month +$32K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#301 of 625
Beats 70%30-day PnL#155 of 519
Beats 81%Win rate#108 of 566
Beats 42%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#342 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board61
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$52K
Verified lifetime PnL
$7.15MVolume
82.7%Win rate (sample) · n=392
0.73%PnL ÷ Volume
$15K7-day PnL
$32K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$50.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,079only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$758partial
Liquidity rewards$11.8K
0.71% ROI50.3% Win rate · n=644
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$26.7K · loses the most in Crypto -$749
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,418Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?Culture · No
- +$2,151Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?Culture · Yes
- +$1,760Will Biden say "Hunter" at DNC speech?Politics · Yes
- +$1,616Will Hanwha Life Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?Sports · Yes
- +$1,600US Open: De Minaur vs. DraperSports · Draper
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,971Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during his Georgia speech?Culture · No / Yes
- -$1,464Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?Culture · Yes
- -$938Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Culture · No
- -$670Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" during Friday speech?Politics · Yes
- -$657Will Donald Trump say "Mark Robinson" during his North Carolina rally?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$52KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KBelow board-day sum
61Days on board
$55KBoard-day sum
$15K7-day PnL
$32K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $171 |
| 2026-05 | 3 | $512 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $336 |
| 2026-07 | 20 | $25K |
| 2026-08 | 22 | $10K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $19K |
Which boards
Sports 45Culture 31All markets 2Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
4% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $758 (34% maker / 66% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio4%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$758
Maker rebate$258
Taker rebate$501
Maker share34%
Taker share66%
Window2026-03-04 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$55K
Verified lifetime PnL$52K
Verification gap-$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)