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Is aHjCz really profitable on Polymarket?
0x2b5920274740ca61745eeb077587bf5bb4ff9db6
Short answer
Mostly yes. aHjCz made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 71 days (2026-04-16 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $44K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$915K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$526K, last month +$254K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 89% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 89%Verified PnL#69 of 624
Beats 90%30-day PnL#55 of 594
Beats 4%Win rate#565 of 592
Beats 92%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#45 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board71
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-16
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$915K
Verified lifetime PnL
$20.22MVolume
30.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
4.52%PnL ÷ Volume
-$526K7-day PnL
$254K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$914.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $36only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,748partial
Liquidity rewards$0
4.52% ROI29.4% Win rate · n=412
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$1.19M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$247.1KWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?Sports · No
- +$156.8KWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · No
- +$141.1KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$128.2KExact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?Sports · No
- +$127.9KWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$126.6KWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Sports · No
- -$120.5KWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$25.6KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$25.6KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$25.3KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$915KVerified lifetime PnL
$870KEarned off the board
71Days on board
$44KBoard-day sum
-$526K7-day PnL
$254K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $7K |
| 2026-07 | 19 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $22K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $3K |
Which boards
Sports 40Politics 34Tech 17Weather 3All markets 2Finance 1Culture 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-11-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-06-20 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$44K
Verified lifetime PnL$915K
Verification gap$870K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)