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← All boardsIs 0x2b670a31… really profitable on Polymarket?
0x2b670a311561dcaf741d8155451774d3fa7fb814
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. 0x2b670a31… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 84 days (2026-05-11 to 2026-10-12), adding up to $40K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$25K: a gap of $15K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$3K, last month +$2K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Tech traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 37% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 37%Verified PnL#391 of 624
Beats 38%30-day PnL#363 of 594
Beats 49%Win rate#298 of 592
Beats 48%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#320 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board84
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-11
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$25K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.97MVolume
64.2%Win rate · n=257
0.88%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$24.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,883only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,217partial
Liquidity rewards$2,592
0.62% ROI44.6% Win rate · n=370
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$44.1K · loses the most in Crypto -$1,819
Top 5 winning markets
- +$31.1KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$10.6KWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Tech & science · Yes / No
- +$9,524Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$6,945US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$5,088US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8,683Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$6,157Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$2,410Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$2,060Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$1,949Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Weather · Yes / No
Covers the 280 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$25KVerified lifetime PnL
$15KBelow board-day sum
84Days on board
$40KBoard-day sum
-$3K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 7 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 16 | $8K |
| 2026-07 | 20 | $8K |
| 2026-08 | 22 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 16 | $14K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $3K |
Which boards
Tech 36Finance 26Culture 21Politics 14Sports 7Weather 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
69% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (78% maker / 22% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio69%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$945
Taker rebate$272
Maker share78%
Taker share22%
Window2026-05-12 → 2026-10-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$40K
Verified lifetime PnL$25K
Verification gap-$15K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)