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Is 0x2c335066… really profitable on Polymarket?

0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a0563

Short answer

Less than the leaderboard suggests. 0x2c335066… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 90 days (2026-05-16 to 2026-10-31), adding up to $13.02M on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$4.39M: a gap of $8.63M that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$1.69M, last month -$2.05M.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 98% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 98%Verified PnL#8 of 622
Beats 0%30-day PnL#308 of 308
Beats 63%Win rate#206 of 568
Beats 34%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#386 of 591

Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board90
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-05-16
Last seen2026-10-31
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$4.39M

Verified lifetime PnL

$1170.88MVolume
70.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.47%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1.69M7-day PnL
-$2.05M30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$4.39M

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $21.7Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1.99Mpartial
Liquidity rewards$82.7K
0.37% ROI42.9% Win rate · n=671

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly maker91% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 5.9 h)Mainly sports94% of last 500 fills (over 5.9 h) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Politics +$363.1K

Politics2 pos.+$363.1K
Sports398 pos.+$86.1K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$2.07MWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Sports · Yes
  2. +$1.10MWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Sports · Yes / No
  3. +$1.00MCincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesSports · Cincinnati Reds
  4. +$894.9KWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Sports · Yes
  5. +$890.7KWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Sports · Yes / No

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$979.2KWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Sports · No
  2. -$742.0KColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersSports · Los Angeles Dodgers / Colorado Rockies
  3. -$721.0KWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports · Yes
  4. -$715.1KWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Sports · Yes
  5. -$679.2KWill England win on 2026-07-05?Sports · No

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31

$4.39MVerified lifetime PnL
$8.63MBelow board-day sum
90Days on board
$13.07MBoard-day sum
-$1.69M7-day PnL
-$2.05M30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 12 $1.46M
2026-06 25 $4.11M
2026-07 17 $1.83M
2026-08 16 $1.62M
2026-09 12 $2.42M
2026-10 8 $1.63M

Which boards

Sports 81All markets 70Politics 15Crypto 10Finance 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1.99M (45% maker / 55% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Head-to-heads with other top wallets:

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio91%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Mixed rebate

Visible rebate total$1.99M
Maker rebate$890K
Taker rebate$1.10M
Maker share45%
Taker share55%
Window2026-02-26 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$13.02M
Verified lifetime PnL$4.39M
Verification gap-$8.63M

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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)