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Is GC-P really profitable on Polymarket?
0x2d6ac4f70307102ac46e9e6ded67f3838ddf8add
Short answer
Mostly yes. GC-P made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 72 days (2026-04-27 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $102K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$140K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 72% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$140K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$1.12M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$63.0KExact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Sports · Yes
- +$23.8KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Sports · No
- +$21.0KExact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?Sports · Yes
- +$19.9KWill France win on 2026-07-18?Sports · No
- +$19.6KWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$136.4KExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?Sports · No
- -$115.9KExact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?Sports · No
- -$114.2KExact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?Sports · No
- -$94.4KWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- -$83.1KWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2969+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$828.5K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $89 |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 20 | $25K |
| 2026-07 | 18 | $24K |
| 2026-08 | 16 | $33K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $18K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)