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← All boardsIs 0x32b48458… really profitable on Polymarket?
0x32b484581fc5606de9c1e43af4636b6be9bc8b21
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. 0x32b48458… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 75 days (2026-03-25 to 2026-10-08), adding up to $884K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$924K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$83K, last month -$74K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 2% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 2%Verified PnL#607 of 622
Beats 7%30-day PnL#284 of 308
Beats 32%Win rate#383 of 568
Beats 12%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#518 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board75
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-03-25
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$924K
Verified lifetime PnL
$186.16MVolume
53.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.37%PnL ÷ Volume
-$83K7-day PnL
-$74K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$924.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$252.8Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$17.5K
-0.50% ROI23.9% Win rate · n=898
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$175.1K · loses the most in Sports -$181.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$223.8KWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Sports · Yes
- +$132.5KWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?Sports · Yes
- +$88.9KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Finance · Yes
- +$82.1KWill England win on 2026-06-23?Sports · No
- +$66.5KWill England win on 2026-07-11?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$136.8KWill United States win on 2026-06-25?Sports · Yes
- -$76.0KWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$72.8KWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?Sports · Yes
- -$72.4KWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Sports · Yes
- -$69.7KWill Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
-$924KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.81MBelow board-day sum
75Days on board
$1.42MBoard-day sum
-$83K7-day PnL
-$74K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $15K |
| 2026-04 | 8 | $488K |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $19K |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $430K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $230K |
| 2026-08 | 11 | $96K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $68K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $76K |
Which boards
Sports 54All markets 22Finance 20Crypto 5Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $253K (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured488
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scope0 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$253K
Maker rebate$226K
Taker rebate$27K
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$17.36M
Rebate$51K
Net total$17.41M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$884K
Verified lifetime PnL-$924K
Verification gap-$1.81M
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)