ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs easypredict really profitable on Polymarket?
0x388537259dc9e693c1c9b96fdf07a63f6b7aca77
Short answer
Mostly yes. easypredict made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 67 days (2026-03-24 to 2026-10-01), adding up to $129K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$485K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$1K, last month +$14K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 81% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 81%Verified PnL#119 of 624
Beats 62%30-day PnL#222 of 594
Beats 51%Win rate#285 of 592
Beats 58%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#257 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board67
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-24
Last seen2026-10-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$485K
Verified lifetime PnL
$37.82MVolume
64.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.27%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$14K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$485.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,328only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$12.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$427
1.28% ROI45.4% Win rate · n=575
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$54.6K · loses the most in Other -$5,640
Top 5 winning markets
- +$34.9KWarriors vs. NuggetsSports · Nuggets
- +$28.9KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 21?Crypto · Yes / No
- +$27.0KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?Crypto · No / Yes
- +$26.9KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?Crypto · No
- +$24.9KBitcoin Up or Down on December 15?Crypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$50.3KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$47.2KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 17?Crypto · Yes / No
- -$34.9K76ers vs. HeatSports · 76ers
- -$34.0KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?Crypto · Yes
- -$32.5KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?Crypto · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$485KVerified lifetime PnL
$356KEarned off the board
67Days on board
$129KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$14K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $38K |
| 2026-04 | 2 | $5K |
| 2026-05 | 15 | $45K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $13K |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $13K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $9K |
Which boards
Crypto 67All markets 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
48% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $12K (42% maker / 58% taker); recent window rebate share 8%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio48%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$12K
Maker rebate$5K
Taker rebate$7K
Maker share42%
Taker share58%
Window2026-03-08 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$18K
Rebate$2K
Net total$19K
Rebate share8%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$129K
Verified lifetime PnL$485K
Verification gap$356K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)