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Is phdcapital really profitable on Polymarket?
0x3b7ed1242417f4b8f6992b5dd53aa9415a2c23eb
Short answer
Mostly yes. phdcapital made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 68 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-20), adding up to $20K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$60K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 58% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$60K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$59.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,743Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Crypto · No
- +$1,710Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Crypto · No
- +$1,680Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Finance · No
- +$1,650Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?Crypto · No
- +$1,450Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
No losing market in the sample.
Covers the 296 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 18 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$28.8K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 13 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 21 | $8K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $537 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)