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Is Anjun really profitable on Polymarket?

0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882

Short answer

Mostly yes. Anjun made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 138 days (2026-04-26 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $314K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$859K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$91K, last month +$211K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 88% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 88%Verified PnL#74 of 624
Beats 89%30-day PnL#61 of 594
Beats 57%Win rate#255 of 592
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#421 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board138
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$859K

Verified lifetime PnL

$186.06MVolume
68.4%Win rate (sample) · n=395
0.33%PnL ÷ Volume
$91K7-day PnL
$211K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$858.9K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $2,403only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$45.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$133.3Kpartial
0.46% ROI36% Win rate · n=750

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes45% of 455 buys at ≥ 90¢Mostly maker100% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsIn and out fastMedian hold 15 min across 5 bought-then-sold positionsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$2.19M · loses the most in Crypto -$38.9K

Sports295 pos.+$2.19M
Culture29 pos.+$531.7K
Finance12 pos.+$269.2K
Politics26 pos.+$100.1K
Weather6 pos.+$21.4K
Tech & science1 pos.-$7,591
Other5 pos.-$23.6K
Crypto26 pos.-$38.9K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$222.4KWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Sports · Yes
  2. +$183.2KWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics · Yes
  3. +$176.9KWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Sports · Yes
  4. +$168.3KNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
  5. +$167.5KWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture · Yes

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$142.7KWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports · Yes / No
  2. -$59.1KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
  3. -$44.1KWill 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?Culture · No
  4. -$40.4KExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?Sports · No
  5. -$34.9KWill 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?Culture · Yes / No

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$859KVerified lifetime PnL
$545KEarned off the board
138Days on board
$314KBoard-day sum
$91K7-day PnL
$211K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 5 $30K
2026-05 27 $89K
2026-06 28 $75K
2026-07 26 $21K
2026-08 29 $15K
2026-09 22 $14K
2026-10 1 $70K

Which boards

Sports 66Politics 57Finance 49Crypto 48Tech 24Culture 10Mentions 10All markets 8Weather 3

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $45K (97% maker / 3% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$45K
Maker rebate$44K
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-02-26 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$437K
Rebate$7K
Net total$444K
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$314K
Verified lifetime PnL$859K
Verification gap$545K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)