ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs -Yang- really profitable on Polymarket?
0x43a6d60de9824e8ed8b0a2d851f49fcaf1e38b32
Short answer
Mostly yes. -Yang- made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 56 days (2026-04-29 to 2026-10-06), adding up to $23K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$26K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 40% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$26K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$22.4K · loses the most in Sports -$931
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,050Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Crypto · No
- +$1,665Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?Crypto · No
- +$1,473Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Politics · No
- +$1,320MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto · No
- +$1,223Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageSports · PARIVISION
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,406LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ASports · BNK FEARX
- -$1,110Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?Crypto · No
- -$978MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Finance · No
- -$899Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 23-29?Crypto · No
- -$819MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $109 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $10K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
71% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)