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Is BoneOhio really profitable on Polymarket?

0x48ac40fc545cf327edd5365435c3a9f385614a7e

Short answer

Mostly yes. BoneOhio made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 71 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $53K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$275K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$3K, last month +$29K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 80% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 80%Verified PnL#222 of 1156
Beats 68%30-day PnL#254 of 812
Beats 74%Win rate#249 of 963
Beats 35%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#646 of 1000

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board71
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$275K

Verified lifetime PnL

$73.60MVolume
79%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.37%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$29K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$275.5K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $223only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$100.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$106
0.37% ROI78.8% Win rate · n=401

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist100% of last 500 fills (over 5.2 h) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsBuys near-certain outcomes90% of 500 buys at ≥ 90¢Mostly maker74% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 5.2 h)Read from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$213.7K

Crypto400 pos.-$213.7K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$1,311Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCrypto · Up
  2. +$1,261Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCrypto · Up
  3. +$1,166Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCrypto · Down
  4. +$1,045Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto · Down
  5. +$1,020Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCrypto · Up

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$4,753Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCrypto · Up
  2. -$4,746Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETCrypto · Up
  3. -$4,511Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCrypto · Down
  4. -$4,458Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETCrypto · Up
  5. -$4,456Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETCrypto · Down

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$3,325). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$275KVerified lifetime PnL
$223KEarned off the board
71Days on board
$53KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$29K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 3 $2K
2026-05 16 $9K
2026-06 4 $1K
2026-07 19 $17K
2026-08 16 $18K
2026-09 13 $6K

Which boards

Crypto 71

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

74% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $100K (69% maker / 31% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio74%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Mixed rebate

Visible rebate total$100K
Maker rebate$69K
Taker rebate$31K
Maker share69%
Taker share31%
Window2026-03-25 → 2026-11-04

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$2.36M
Rebate$9K
Net total$2.37M
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$53K
Verified lifetime PnL$275K
Verification gap$223K

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)