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← All boardsIs 0x4e25605f… really profitable on Polymarket?
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7
Short answer
Mostly yes. 0x4e25605f… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 86 days (2026-03-25 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $33K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$252K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$1K, last month -$28K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 72% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 72%Verified PnL#174 of 624
Beats 8%30-day PnL#543 of 594
Beats 30%Win rate#411 of 592
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#417 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board86
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$252K
Verified lifetime PnL
$68.77MVolume
52.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.37%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
-$28K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$251.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$73.8Kpartial
0.37% ROI45% Win rate · n=505
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$106.4K · loses the most in Finance -$31.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$69.2KPacers vs. CavaliersSports · Pacers
- +$47.4KWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes / No
- +$39.1KWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?Sports · Yes
- +$31.9KWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Finance · Yes / No
- +$27.2KWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Sports · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$54.3KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · No
- -$39.6KPhillies vs. RedsSports · Phillies
- -$32.4KPacers vs. ThunderSports · Pacers
- -$30.5KNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- -$23.7KUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$252KVerified lifetime PnL
$218KEarned off the board
86Days on board
$33KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
-$28K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-04 | 4 | $9K |
| 2026-05 | 22 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $804 |
Which boards
Politics 37Weather 35Finance 25Sports 10Culture 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured496
Window ends2026-06-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$33K
Verified lifetime PnL$252K
Verification gap$218K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)