ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs planktonXD really profitable on Polymarket?
0x4ffe49ba2a4cae123536a8af4fda48faeb609f71
Short answer
Mostly yes. planktonXD made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 71 days (2026-05-07 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $7K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$138K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$8K, last month +$10K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 65% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 65%Verified PnL#216 of 624
Beats 58%30-day PnL#249 of 594
Beats 97%Win rate#16 of 592
Beats 22%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#481 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board71
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-07
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$138K
Verified lifetime PnL
$230.14MVolume
98.2%Win rate (sample) · n=394
0.06%PnL ÷ Volume
$8K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$138.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $33only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$8,176partial
Liquidity rewards$15.1Kpartial
0.06% ROI95.1% Win rate · n=407
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$19.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,765Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · No
- +$2,527S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Finance · Down
- +$2,307Syria strikes Israel by August 31?Politics · Yes
- +$1,594Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs yache123 (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group StageSports · yache123
- +$1,558Will Solana dip to $130 January 12-18?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$544Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Politics · Yes
- -$519Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on October 30?Crypto · Yes
- -$415Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Finance · Yes
- -$241Will the price of Ethereum be between $4800 and $5000 on August 29?Crypto · Yes
- -$177Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of June 15 2026?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$138KVerified lifetime PnL
$132KEarned off the board
71Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$8K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 10 | $634 |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 22 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 18 | $882 |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $454 |
Which boards
Sports 25Tech 22Finance 13Politics 12Weather 10Mentions 7Crypto 5Culture 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $8K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-09
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$8K
Maker rebate$8K
Taker rebate$17
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-07 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$6K
Rebate$459
Net total$6K
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$138K
Verification gap$132K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)