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Is BigMackyG really profitable on Polymarket?
0x524db836890e08aceb3abcdee98d44240e324495
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. BigMackyG made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 81 days (2026-06-28 to 2026-10-29), adding up to $46K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$43K: a gap of $3K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$3K, last month +$36K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 47% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 47%Verified PnL#331 of 624
Beats 72%30-day PnL#162 of 594
Beats 68%Win rate#186 of 592
Beats 61%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#238 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board81
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-28
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$43K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.66MVolume
73.5%Win rate · n=185
1.42%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$36K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$42.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6,710only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,211partial
Liquidity rewards$446
0.91% ROI22.7% Win rate · n=603
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$121.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$18.9KIsrael closes its airspace by September 30?Politics · Yes
- +$18.4KSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Politics · Yes / No
- +$8,394Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$7,526Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · Yes
- +$7,280Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,382US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics · No
- -$1,761Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,554US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics · Yes / No
- -$867Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$785Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Culture · No
Covers the 218 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$43KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KBelow board-day sum
81Days on board
$46KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$36K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $189 |
| 2026-07 | 23 | $7K |
| 2026-08 | 28 | $10K |
| 2026-09 | 21 | $18K |
| 2026-10 | 6 | $10K |
Which boards
Politics 40Culture 29Tech 22Finance 17Sports 10Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
43% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (24% maker / 76% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio43%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$291
Taker rebate$920
Maker share24%
Taker share76%
Window2026-06-27 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$46K
Verified lifetime PnL$43K
Verification gap-$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)