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← All boardsIs coinman2 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x55be7aa03ecfbe37aa5460db791205f7ac9ddca3
Short answer
Mostly yes. coinman2 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 67 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $115K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$1.44M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$949, last month +$2K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 92% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 92%Verified PnL#46 of 624
Beats 39%30-day PnL#360 of 594
Beats 55%Win rate#261 of 592
Beats 66%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#207 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board67
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.44M
Verified lifetime PnL
$84.83MVolume
68%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.69%PnL ÷ Volume
$9497-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.44M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,232only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$26.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$4,235
1.69% ROI31.7% Win rate · n=859
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$334.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$246.0KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$100.1KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?Crypto · Yes / No
- +$98.1KWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?Crypto · Yes / No
- +$66.3KWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 23?Crypto · Yes
- +$54.0KBitcoin Up or Down on May 27?Crypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$145.3KBitcoin Up or Down on May 24?Crypto · Up / Down
- -$53.4KWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?Crypto · Yes
- -$46.9KWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?Crypto · No
- -$46.1KBitcoin Up or Down on June 28?Crypto · Down
- -$42.8KBitcoin Up or Down on June 27?Crypto · Up / Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.44MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.32MEarned off the board
67Days on board
$115KBoard-day sum
$9497-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $500 |
| 2026-05 | 13 | $23K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $57K |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $19K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $9K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $6K |
Which boards
Crypto 66Sports 3All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
35% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $26K (31% maker / 69% taker); recent window rebate share 39%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio35%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$26K
Maker rebate$8K
Taker rebate$18K
Maker share31%
Taker share69%
Window2026-03-07 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Rebate material
Trade cash$7K
Rebate$5K
Net total$12K
Rebate share39%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$115K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.44M
Verification gap$1.32M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)