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← All boardsIs hopedieslast really profitable on Polymarket?
0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. hopedieslast made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 82 days (2026-04-19 to 2026-10-29), adding up to $410K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$260K: a gap of $150K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$7K, last month +$23K.
All figures are Polymarket's own pre-fee numbers (taker fees not deducted), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Days on board82
Archive span200 days
First seen2026-04-19
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$260K
Verified lifetime PnL
$10.91MVolume
62.5%Win rate · n=229
2.39%PnL ÷ Volume
$7K7-day PnL
$23K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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$260KVerified lifetime PnL
$150KBelow board-day sum
82Days on board
$410KBoard-day sum
$7K7-day PnL
$23K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 9 | $179K |
| 2026-05 | 21 | $134K |
| 2026-06 | 19 | $71K |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $6K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $12K |
Which boards
Politics 82All markets 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3
Maker rebate$3
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-08-27 → 2026-09-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$410K
Verified lifetime PnL$260K
Verification gap-$150K
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Archived 2026-10-29 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-29 (200 snapshots)