ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs nonkenny90 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x5cd5c8d7a17c78d7389d8b87b611aed83322ac33
Short answer
Mostly yes. nonkenny90 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 102 days (2026-03-22 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $53K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$87K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$4K, last month +$6K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 58% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$87K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$93.6K · loses the most in Crypto -$272.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$134.4KWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Politics · Yes
- +$77.9KWill 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?Sports · No
- +$44.3KTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Politics · No
- +$31.3KWill Solana dip to $110 in March?Crypto · No
- +$29.4KWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$97.0KWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics · Yes
- -$71.6KWill Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Politics · Yes
- -$56.2KAndrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics · Yes
- -$47.3KFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Politics · No
- -$41.9KUS military action against Iran before July?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $67 |
| 2026-04 | 6 | $4K |
| 2026-05 | 19 | $17K |
| 2026-06 | 18 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 20 | $9K |
| 2026-08 | 23 | $12K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $2K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
60% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $916 (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)