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Is nonkenny90 really profitable on Polymarket?

0x5cd5c8d7a17c78d7389d8b87b611aed83322ac33

Short answer

Mostly yes. nonkenny90 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 102 days (2026-03-22 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $53K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$87K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$4K, last month +$6K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 58% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 58%Verified PnL#261 of 624
Beats 49%30-day PnL#298 of 594
Beats 95%Win rate#26 of 592
Beats 31%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#428 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board102
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-22
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$87K

Verified lifetime PnL

$32.81MVolume
95.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.26%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
2026-03 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$86.7K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $434only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$916partial
Liquidity rewards$2,872partial
0.26% ROI95.8% Win rate · n=400

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes74% of 467 buys at ≥ 90¢Holds to settlementSells are only 9% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 2.9 days)Read from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Finance +$93.6K · loses the most in Crypto -$272.1K

Finance24 pos.+$93.6K
Sports39 pos.+$5,685
Weather3 pos.-$2,177
Culture10 pos.-$4,262
Tech & science6 pos.-$4,799
Other2 pos.-$9,383
Politics186 pos.-$206.5K
Crypto130 pos.-$272.1K

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$87KVerified lifetime PnL
$33KEarned off the board
102Days on board
$53KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-03 1 $67
2026-04 6 $4K
2026-05 19 $17K
2026-06 18 $10K
2026-07 20 $9K
2026-08 23 $12K
2026-09 15 $2K

Which boards

Politics 80Sports 20Tech 15Crypto 10Finance 10Culture 9Weather 3Mentions 2

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

60% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $916 (89% maker / 11% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

unknown (methods disagree)

Passive ratio60%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$916
Maker rebate$813
Taker rebate$103
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-10-30

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$53K
Verified lifetime PnL$87K
Verification gap$33K

Trade on Polymarket

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)