ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
Is gloriafoster really profitable on Polymarket?
0x5d189e816b4149be00977c1a3c8840374aec4972
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. gloriafoster made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 75 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-08), adding up to $69K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$2K: a gap of $66K that can only come from losing days the board never shows.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 29% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$2K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$314.8K · loses the most in Finance -$959
Top 5 winning markets
- +$23.0KNuggets vs. GrizzliesSports · Nuggets
- +$18.0KWarriors vs. ClippersSports · Clippers
- +$16.6KHeat vs. PistonsSports · Heat
- +$16.2KSeahawks vs. PatriotsSports · Seahawks / Patriots
- +$15.2KWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$11.7KMaduro out by March 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$4,157Hawks vs. LakersSports · Lakers / Hawks
- -$1,704S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 29?Finance · Down / Up
- -$1,593Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Sports · Celtics / Wizards
- -$1,259Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Sports · Warriors / 76ers
Covers the 204 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 224 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$452.1K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 20 | $9K |
| 2026-06 | 16 | $37K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $9K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $4K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)