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Is gloriafoster really profitable on Polymarket?

0x5d189e816b4149be00977c1a3c8840374aec4972

Short answer

Less than the leaderboard suggests. gloriafoster made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 75 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-08), adding up to $69K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$2K: a gap of $66K that can only come from losing days the board never shows.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 29% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 29%Verified PnL#821 of 1156
Beats 89%Win rate#99 of 963
Beats 21%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#786 of 1000

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board75
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$2K

Verified lifetime PnL

$289.07MVolume
92.1%Win rate · n=203
0.00%PnL ÷ Volume
2026-04 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2,400

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$13.8K
0.00% ROI43.8% Win rate · n=427

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly maker100% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsMainly politics100% of last 500 fills (over 9.7 days) are politics marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$314.8K · loses the most in Finance -$959

Sports157 pos.+$314.8K
Politics32 pos.+$17.7K
Crypto9 pos.+$176
Culture1 pos.+$103
Finance5 pos.-$959

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$23.0KNuggets vs. GrizzliesSports · Nuggets
  2. +$18.0KWarriors vs. ClippersSports · Clippers
  3. +$16.6KHeat vs. PistonsSports · Heat
  4. +$16.2KSeahawks vs. PatriotsSports · Seahawks / Patriots
  5. +$15.2KWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?Sports · No

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$11.7KMaduro out by March 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
  2. -$4,157Hawks vs. LakersSports · Lakers / Hawks
  3. -$1,704S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 29?Finance · Down / Up
  4. -$1,593Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Sports · Celtics / Wizards
  5. -$1,259Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Sports · Warriors / 76ers

Covers the 204 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 224 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$452.1K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$2KVerified lifetime PnL
$66KBelow board-day sum
75Days on board
$69KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 3 $2K
2026-05 20 $9K
2026-06 16 $37K
2026-07 11 $6K
2026-08 15 $9K
2026-09 9 $4K
2026-10 1 $3K

Which boards

Politics 47Sports 35Weather 2

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

100% passive fills in the recent window

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-07
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$69K
Verified lifetime PnL$2K
Verification gap-$66K

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)