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← All boardsIs 0x5ecde734… really profitable on Polymarket?
0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787
Short answer
Mostly yes. 0x5ecde734… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 64 days (2026-04-17 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $46K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$90K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$4K, last month +$74K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 59% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 59%Verified PnL#256 of 624
Beats 80%30-day PnL#116 of 594
Beats 45%Win rate#321 of 592
Beats 27%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#452 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board64
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-17
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$90K
Verified lifetime PnL
$48.51MVolume
62%Win rate (sample) · n=374
0.17%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$74K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$90.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,893only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$694partial
Liquidity rewards$84.6K
0.19% ROI52.7% Win rate · n=440
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$277.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$59.5KWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$45.1KWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Culture · Yes
- +$43.6KWill Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$28.9KWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?Crypto · Yes
- +$27.0KWill the government shutdown end November 13?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$32.7KUS forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics · No / Yes
- -$27.7KUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · No / Yes
- -$25.5KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · No / Yes
- -$22.6KIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
- -$21.5KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$90KVerified lifetime PnL
$44KEarned off the board
64Days on board
$46KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$74K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 20 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $6K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $18K |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $5K |
Which boards
Politics 36Tech 31Crypto 4Sports 1Finance 1Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
84% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $694 (79% maker / 21% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio84%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$694
Maker rebate$545
Taker rebate$148
Maker share79%
Taker share21%
Window2026-02-17 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$46K
Verified lifetime PnL$90K
Verification gap$44K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)