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← All boardsIs paddaa really profitable on Polymarket?
0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71
Short answer
Mostly yes. paddaa made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 66 days (2026-04-27 to 2026-10-03), adding up to $41K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$297K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$47K, last month +$543K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 75% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 75%Verified PnL#154 of 624
Beats 95%30-day PnL#27 of 594
Beats 41%Win rate#346 of 592
Beats 63%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#229 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board66
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-10-03
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$297K
Verified lifetime PnL
$17.05MVolume
58.9%Win rate (sample) · n=397
1.50%PnL ÷ Volume
$47K7-day PnL
$543K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$297.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,741only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,129partial
Liquidity rewards$10.7Kpartial
1.74% ROI58.9% Win rate · n=397
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$143.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$20.9KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$12.4KUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics · No
- +$8,248US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- +$8,123Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$7,994Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$11.7KUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$11.4KUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics · Yes / No
- -$8,705US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · No / Yes
- -$8,208Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics · No
- -$6,000Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$297KVerified lifetime PnL
$257KEarned off the board
66Days on board
$41KBoard-day sum
$47K7-day PnL
$543K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $339 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $15K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $9K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 54Finance 6Tech 5Weather 4Culture 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
51% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (54% maker / 46% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio51%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$607
Taker rebate$522
Maker share54%
Taker share46%
Window2026-04-27 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$41K
Verified lifetime PnL$297K
Verification gap$257K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)