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← All boardsIs mr.ozi really profitable on Polymarket?
0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546
Short answer
Mostly yes. mr.ozi made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 88 days (2026-04-21 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $217K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$906K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$158K, last month +$234K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 88% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 88%Verified PnL#71 of 624
Beats 90%30-day PnL#59 of 594
Beats 59%Win rate#239 of 592
Beats 69%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#189 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board88
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-21
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$906K
Verified lifetime PnL
$40.86MVolume
69.1%Win rate (sample) · n=395
1.90%PnL ÷ Volume
$158K7-day PnL
$234K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$905.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,408only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4,775partial
Liquidity rewards$7,537partial
2.22% ROI68.8% Win rate · n=397
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$615.5K · loses the most in Sports -$22.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$102.4KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$97.1KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$80.8KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$74.2KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$64.7KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$46.2KUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics · No
- -$39.4KWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports · No
- -$32.1KIran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics · Yes
- -$31.6KWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$30.4KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$906KVerified lifetime PnL
$689KEarned off the board
88Days on board
$217KBoard-day sum
$158K7-day PnL
$234K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $25K |
| 2026-05 | 23 | $52K |
| 2026-06 | 18 | $63K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $10K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $53K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $14K |
Which boards
Politics 82Crypto 8All markets 3Culture 2Sports 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $5K (87% maker / 13% taker); rebate covers 2% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$5K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$601
Maker share87%
Taker share13%
Window2026-04-28 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$75K
Rebate$2K
Net total-$73K
Rebate covers loss2%
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-31
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$217K
Verified lifetime PnL$906K
Verification gap$689K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)