ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs eCash really profitable on Polymarket?
0x62cf46cd4c3af254dccfc37a7f93de265b4b5826
Short answer
Mostly yes. eCash made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 95 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-11-01), adding up to $86K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$286K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$3K, last month +$10K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 75% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 75%Verified PnL#156 of 624
Beats 58%30-day PnL#246 of 594
Beats 74%Win rate#154 of 592
Beats 83%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#106 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board95
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$286K
Verified lifetime PnL
$9.79MVolume
77.9%Win rate (sample) · n=393
2.75%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$286.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $25only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$599partial
Liquidity rewards$6,857partial
2.92% ROI77.5% Win rate · n=395
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$111.4K · loses the most in Finance -$2,400
Top 5 winning markets
- +$100.0KWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$43.9KWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?Politics · No / Yes
- +$41.6KWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$39.5KWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Culture · Yes
- +$28.5KWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Other · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$182.5KWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Politics · No
- -$73.4KUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Politics · No
- -$26.1KWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics · Yes
- -$25.8KIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? Politics · No
- -$23.1KWill Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$286KVerified lifetime PnL
$201KEarned off the board
95Days on board
$86KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 24 | $22K |
| 2026-06 | 16 | $8K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $7K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $37K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $7K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $718 |
Which boards
Politics 86Culture 11Tech 4Crypto 2Weather 1Finance 1Sports 1All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $599 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$599
Maker rebate$599
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-06 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$86K
Verified lifetime PnL$286K
Verification gap$201K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)