ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs MEPP really profitable on Polymarket?
0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
Short answer
Mostly yes. MEPP made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 91 days (2026-04-26 to 2026-10-03), adding up to $86K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$562K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$9K, last month +$18K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 82% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$562K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$323.7K · loses the most in Sports -$10.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$41.5KIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Politics · Yes / No
- +$39.0KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$35.0KWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics · No
- +$31.6KWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Crypto · No
- +$28.1KUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$35.4KIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Politics · No
- -$30.0KIsrael military action against Iran before July?Politics · No
- -$22.9KWill Kanye launch a coin in February?Crypto · No
- -$22.2KUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Politics · Yes / No
- -$19.9KUS military action against Iran by Sunday?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 22 | $29K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $14K |
| 2026-07 | 19 | $12K |
| 2026-08 | 16 | $19K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $10K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $673 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
78% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $705 (80% maker / 20% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)