ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs meowtai really profitable on Polymarket?
0x72a22d4d155079da8f50c89d4c6c03b6428e7b65
Short answer
Mostly yes. meowtai made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 61 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $10K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$69K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$5K, last month -$7K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 55% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 55%Verified PnL#281 of 624
Beats 13%30-day PnL#512 of 594
Beats 82%Win rate#107 of 592
Beats 35%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#403 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board61
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$69K
Verified lifetime PnL
$17.06MVolume
83.1%Win rate (sample) · n=397
0.43%PnL ÷ Volume
-$5K7-day PnL
-$7K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$68.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $241only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,065partial
Liquidity rewards$2,601
0.40% ROI83.1% Win rate · n=397
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$31.4K · loses the most in Sports -$21.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$19.1KNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$7,524US government shutdown Saturday?Politics · Yes
- +$5,651MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
- +$4,840US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics · No
- +$4,035Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Crypto · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$14.5KWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics · Yes
- -$8,476Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$8,472Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$6,665Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$6,271Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$69KVerified lifetime PnL
$59KEarned off the board
61Days on board
$10KBoard-day sum
-$5K7-day PnL
-$7K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $428 |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $456 |
Which boards
Politics 36Finance 14Tech 14Culture 3Sports 3Mentions 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
80% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio80%
Fills measured487
Window ends2026-10-13
Window scope19 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$25
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-21 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$10K
Verified lifetime PnL$69K
Verification gap$59K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)