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Is tetrose really profitable on Polymarket?
0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d
Short answer
Mostly yes. tetrose made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 73 days (2026-04-16 to 2026-10-07), adding up to $171K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$225K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$183K, last month -$167K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 71% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 71%Verified PnL#179 of 624
Beats 4%30-day PnL#570 of 594
Beats 34%Win rate#391 of 592
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#418 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board73
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-16
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$225K
Verified lifetime PnL
$57.29MVolume
54.4%Win rate (sample) · n=397
0.34%PnL ÷ Volume
-$183K7-day PnL
-$167K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$224.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $14.9Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$9,877partial
Liquidity rewards$13.2K
0.39% ROI33.6% Win rate · n=643
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$747.0K · loses the most in Crypto -$9,889
Top 5 winning markets
- +$521.6KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$90.7KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Finance · Yes
- +$43.5KUS government shutdown Saturday?Politics · No / Yes
- +$38.0KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$37.7KIran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$42.6KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Finance · Yes
- -$35.5KMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Politics · Yes
- -$30.7KUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Politics · Yes
- -$29.3K Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics · Yes / No
- -$27.9KUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$225KVerified lifetime PnL
$53KEarned off the board
73Days on board
$171KBoard-day sum
-$183K7-day PnL
-$167K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $28K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $12K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $61K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $42K |
| 2026-08 | 11 | $13K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $9K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $6K |
Which boards
Politics 54Finance 28All markets 3Weather 1Culture 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $10K (43% maker / 57% taker); rebate covers 2% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$10K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$6K
Maker share43%
Taker share57%
Window2026-04-09 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$122K
Rebate$3K
Net total-$119K
Rebate covers loss2%
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-31
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$171K
Verified lifetime PnL$225K
Verification gap$53K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)