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Is Sharky6999 really profitable on Polymarket?

0x751a2b86cab503496efd325c8344e10159349ea1

Short answer

Mostly yes. Sharky6999 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 73 days (2026-03-23 to 2026-09-20), adding up to $143K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$944K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$6K, last month -$39K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 89% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 89%Verified PnL#67 of 624
Beats 8%30-day PnL#546 of 594
Beats 96%Win rate#19 of 592
Beats 33%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#415 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board73
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-23
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$944K

Verified lifetime PnL

$250.27MVolume
97.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.37%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
-$39K30-day PnL
2026-03 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$943.8K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $146only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$26.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$367
0.38% ROI97.3% Win rate · n=400

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes87% of 499 buys at ≥ 90¢Mostly maker94% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 2.8 days)Read from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$130.6K · loses the most in Politics -$640

Sports67 pos.+$130.6K
Crypto319 pos.+$108.6K
Finance12 pos.+$13.6K
Culture1 pos.-$273
Politics1 pos.-$640

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$35.5KWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?Crypto · No
  2. +$28.8KBucks vs. GrizzliesSports · Grizzlies
  3. +$25.2KWill Bitcoin dip to $117K July 14–20?Crypto · Yes
  4. +$23.4KLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSports · Bilibili Gaming
  5. +$19.6KWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?Crypto · No

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$74.0KBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Crypto · Down
  2. -$63.4KSolana Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ETCrypto · Down
  3. -$34.1KWill Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Crypto · No
  4. -$15.7KWill Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Crypto · No
  5. -$12.6KWill Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Crypto · No

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$944KVerified lifetime PnL
$801KEarned off the board
73Days on board
$143KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
-$39K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-03 1 $4K
2026-04 3 $7K
2026-05 19 $17K
2026-06 18 $96K
2026-07 14 $11K
2026-08 11 $7K
2026-09 7 $612

Which boards

Crypto 57Sports 22All markets 2Politics 1Finance 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

94% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $26K (100% maker / 0% taker); rebate covers 1% of recent trading losses

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio94%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$26K
Maker rebate$26K
Taker rebate$114
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-01-08 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

Rebate covering trading losses

Trade cash-$88K
Rebate$437
Net total-$88K
Rebate covers loss1%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$143K
Verified lifetime PnL$944K
Verification gap$801K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)