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← All boardsIs Gaditima really profitable on Polymarket?
0x7e5972bfc25819775ee5a9d4f191919375487b8b
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. Gaditima made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 75 days (2026-06-19 to 2026-10-05), adding up to $175K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$434K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$1K, last month +$38K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 3% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 3%Verified PnL#601 of 624
Beats 74%30-day PnL#153 of 594
Beats 21%Win rate#467 of 592
Beats 5%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#583 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board75
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-19
Last seen2026-10-05
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$434K
Verified lifetime PnL
$27.51MVolume
48.1%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-1.69%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$38K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$433.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $720only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$30.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$23.9K
-1.58% ROI47.8% Win rate · n=402
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$35.0K · loses the most in Sports -$139.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$22.2KWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Sports · Yes
- +$19.3KWill Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Sports · Yes
- +$15.8KSpread: Steelers (-2.5)Sports · Steelers
- +$15.4KT20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs IndiaSports · Ireland
- +$14.3KWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$22.2KWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes / No
- -$21.5KWill Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Sports · Yes / No
- -$18.0KWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Sports · No
- -$15.3KWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?Sports · Yes
- -$12.6KWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$434KVerified lifetime PnL
$609KBelow board-day sum
75Days on board
$175KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$38K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 27 | $66K |
| 2026-08 | 22 | $92K |
| 2026-09 | 17 | $13K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 41Sports 41Culture 35All markets 8Mentions 6Weather 3Finance 2Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
63% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $30K (60% maker / 40% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio63%
Fills measured482
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scope1 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$30K
Maker rebate$18K
Taker rebate$12K
Maker share60%
Taker share40%
Window2026-06-18 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$1.92M
Rebate$6K
Net total$1.93M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$175K
Verified lifetime PnL-$434K
Verification gap-$609K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)