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Is aswfadq1555 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x7e5d2991c2647de2348287e2f499329fc6a6c4c3
Short answer
Mostly yes. aswfadq1555 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 71 days (2026-04-30 to 2026-09-17), adding up to $55K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$212K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$9K, last month +$14K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 71% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 71%Verified PnL#181 of 624
Beats 62%30-day PnL#225 of 594
Beats 30%Win rate#414 of 592
Beats 39%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#375 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board71
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-09-17
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$212K
Verified lifetime PnL
$35.18MVolume
52.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.60%PnL ÷ Volume
$9K7-day PnL
$14K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$212.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $48only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$114.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$5,629
0.60% ROI23.7% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$6,611
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,946Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$5,054Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$4,686Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$4,577Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$4,569Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,790Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$6,448Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$5,610Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$5,224Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- -$4,468Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$212KVerified lifetime PnL
$157KEarned off the board
71Days on board
$55KBoard-day sum
$9K7-day PnL
$14K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $652 |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $13K |
| 2026-06 | 16 | $21K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $11K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $5K |
Which boards
Crypto 71
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
86% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $114K (60% maker / 40% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio86%
Fills measured475
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scope0 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$114K
Maker rebate$68K
Taker rebate$46K
Maker share60%
Taker share40%
Window2026-04-12 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$808K
Rebate$6K
Net total$815K
Window2026-10-02 → 2026-11-01
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$55K
Verified lifetime PnL$212K
Verification gap$157K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)