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← All boardsIs LulaVaiPerder really profitable on Polymarket?
0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. LulaVaiPerder made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 114 days (2026-04-01 to 2026-10-04), adding up to $552K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$308K: a gap of $244K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$235K, last month -$212K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 76% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 76%Verified PnL#150 of 624
Beats 3%30-day PnL#576 of 594
Beats 77%Win rate#133 of 592
Beats 91%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#56 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board114
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-01
Last seen2026-10-04
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$308K
Verified lifetime PnL
$11.68MVolume
81%Win rate · n=399
4.04%PnL ÷ Volume
-$235K7-day PnL
-$212K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$307.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9,910only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$786partial
Liquidity rewards$334
2.63% ROI73.5% Win rate · n=441
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$506.1K · loses the most in Culture -$19.79
Top 5 winning markets
- +$123.1KUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$120.3KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes
- +$45.0KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$45.0KWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics · No
- +$41.6KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$74.5KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- -$31.0KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$17.9KWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?Politics · Yes / No
- -$15.9KWill Neymar play in the World Cup?Sports · No
- -$13.8KIsrael closes its airspace by September 30?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$308KVerified lifetime PnL
$244KBelow board-day sum
114Days on board
$552KBoard-day sum
-$235K7-day PnL
-$212K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 11 | $255K |
| 2026-05 | 18 | $98K |
| 2026-06 | 22 | $68K |
| 2026-07 | 25 | $54K |
| 2026-08 | 21 | $66K |
| 2026-09 | 16 | $4K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $6K |
Which boards
Politics 90Finance 47Sports 22All markets 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
16% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $786 (1% maker / 99% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio16%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-22
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$786
Maker rebate$10
Taker rebate$776
Maker share1%
Taker share99%
Window2026-05-03 → 2026-10-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$552K
Verified lifetime PnL$308K
Verification gap-$244K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)