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Is mooseborzoi really profitable on Polymarket?

0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63

Archived snapshot. This address is no longer on the current boards, so this page is no longer refreshed. Board data as of 2026-10-29.

Short answer

No, not on a lifetime basis. mooseborzoi made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 79 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-08), adding up to $8.84M on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$10.51M. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$65K, last month -$376K.

All figures are Polymarket's own pre-fee numbers (taker fees not deducted), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Days on board79
Archive span200 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$10.51M

Verified lifetime PnL

$381.97MVolume
55%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-2.77%PnL ÷ Volume
$65K7-day PnL
-$376K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

-$10.51MVerified lifetime PnL
$19.35MBelow board-day sum
79Days on board
$9.30MBoard-day sum
$65K7-day PnL
-$376K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 1 $388K
2026-05 16 $2.61M
2026-06 19 $3.32M
2026-07 16 $1.66M
2026-08 14 $282K
2026-09 11 $962K
2026-10 2 $82K

Which boards

Sports 73All markets 51Politics 12

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

1% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $857K (2% maker / 98% taker)

Execution style

aggressive (taker)

Passive ratio1%
Fills measured490
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Taker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$857K
Maker rebate$21K
Taker rebate$837K
Maker share2%
Taker share98%
Window2026-04-25 → 2026-10-29

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$1.33M
Rebate$19K
Net total$1.35M
Window2026-09-29 → 2026-10-29

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$8.84M
Verified lifetime PnL-$10.51M
Verification gap-$19.35M

Trade on Polymarket

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Archived 2026-10-29 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-29 (200 snapshots)