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← All boardsIs dddtrips really profitable on Polymarket?
0x8565b21d736741147592264d75cc26ccf2040c43
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. dddtrips made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 76 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-12), adding up to $41K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$56K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$3K, last month -$10K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Culture traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 9% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 9%Verified PnL#565 of 624
Beats 12%30-day PnL#518 of 594
Beats 54%Win rate#268 of 592
Beats 9%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#562 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board76
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$56K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.88MVolume
67.3%Win rate (sample) · n=398
-0.97%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3K7-day PnL
-$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$56.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $7,059only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,484partial
Liquidity rewards$389
-0.96% ROI30% Win rate · n=892
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$245.9K · loses the most in Crypto -$1,506
Top 5 winning markets
- +$21.4KWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$9,294Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$8,833Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$8,712Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Culture · Yes
- +$8,427Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,160Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$3,000Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Culture · Yes
- -$2,854Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Culture · Yes / No
- -$2,754Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$2,512Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Culture · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$56KVerified lifetime PnL
$97KBelow board-day sum
76Days on board
$41KBoard-day sum
-$3K7-day PnL
-$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $278 |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $7K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $13K |
| 2026-08 | 16 | $6K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $8K |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $5K |
Which boards
Culture 59Sports 21Finance 8Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
56% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (24% maker / 76% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio56%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$361
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share24%
Taker share76%
Window2026-04-10 → 2026-10-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$41K
Verified lifetime PnL-$56K
Verification gap-$97K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)